Tuesday, January 30, 2007

2007 NCAA Tournament Projections

Here is the first installment of my NCAA men's basketball tournament projections for the year. This and $4.50 will get you a cup of coffee at Starbucks.

I didn't use a set formula, as I have done in the past, but used a combination of the AP and Coaches polls and a replication of the Ratings Percentage Index (RPI) to qualify and seed teams. Seeds can and will change as the season plays out. Teams will drop in and drop out. Plus, there are some things that cannot be explained, just as some seedings cannot be explained by the selection committee when those brackets come out in March.

Enjoy...

San Antonio Regional
(1st-2nd round: New Orleans)
(1) Florida
(16) Loyola MD
or Delaware State

(8) USC
(9) Texas Tech
(1st-2nd round: Columbus)
(5) Butler
(12) New Mexico State

(4) Virginia Tech
(13) VCU
(1st-2nd round: Spokane)
(3) Texas A&M
(14) Cal State-Fullerton

(6) Arizona
(11) Creighton
(1st-2nd round: Winston-Salem)
(7) Indiana
(10) BYU

(2) Duke
(15) Holy Cross

San Jose Regional
(1st-2nd round: Lexington)
(1) Ohio State
(16) Jackson State

(8) Southern Illinois
(9) Florida State
(1st-2nd round: Buffalo)
(5) Alabama
(12) Oral Roberts

(4) Oklahoma State
(13) Davidson
(1st-2nd round: Chicago)
(3) Marquette
(14) Penn

(6) Clemson
(11) West Virginia
(1st-2nd round: Sacramento)
(7) UNLV
(10) Louisville

(2) UCLA
(15) E. Tennessee State

East Rutherford Regional
(1st-2nd round: Winston-Salem)
(1) North Carolina
(16) Weber State


(8) West Virginia
(9) Michigan State
(1st-2nd round: Columbus)
(5) Washington State
(12) Wichita State

(4) Nevada
(13) Akron
(1st-2nd round: Lexington)
(3) Memphis
(14) South Alabama

(6) Vanderbilt
(11) Michigan
(1st-2nd round: New Orleans)
(7) Georgetown
(10) Arkansas

(2) Kansas
(15) Vermont

St. Louis Regional
(1st-2nd round: Chicago)
(1) Wisconsin
(16) Central Conn. State

(8) Stanford
(9) Boston College
(1st-2nd round: Sacramento)
(5) Notre Dame
(12) Missouri State

(4) Air Force
(13) Winthrop
(1st-2nd round: Spokane)
(3) Oregon
(14) Austin Peay

(6) Texas
(11) George Washington
(1st-2nd round: Buffalo)
(7) Kentucky
(10) Gonzaga

(2) Pittsburgh
(15) Texas A&M-C.C.

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